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East African Economies Plan to Shift From Foreign Aid to Sovereign and Domestic Bonds

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All eyes will be on the larger East African economy tomorrow, as Uganda, Tanzania, and Kenya announce their budgets for the fiscal year July 2o1o-June 2011.  With donor countries like the U.k. eyeing austerity measures, analysts believe that the three countries will turn to the financial markets through sovereign bonds and domestic infrastructure bonds, Bloomberg Business Week reported.  East Africa is the fastest growing region on the African continent, and the African Development Bank predicts that it will grow at a rate of 6 percent in the upcoming year.

Uganda's finance minister, Syda Bbumba, will reveal the countries' budget for the upcoming financial year tomorrow.

According to a draft budget released by Uganda on May 21st, donor grant and loans in the budget will drop from $513 million to $345 million this financial year.  Tanzania, hoping to wean itself off its dependency on foreign donors, hope to cut donor support from 39 percent of its budget last year to 25 percent this year.  Kenya also hopes to fund large renewable energy projects in the year ahead through$500 million USD of international bonds, rather than foreign aid, the same amount that Tanzania hopes to raise in a sale of Eurobonds in the next financial year.  Uganda doesn’t plan to sell bonds abroad, but will issue domestic bonds for infrastructure projects.

An interest in bonds has stemmed from increasing budget deficits, coupled with a decrease in donor aid.  Budget deficits, however, are still relatively low.  Uganda’s budget deficit this year was only 2.4 percent of its GDP, compared to European countries like Spain, whose budget deficit reached almost 10 percent of its GDP this year.  All three East African countries are seeking financing and investment in infrastructure, particularly to increase countries’ electricity supply.  Only 14 percent of Tanzanians, for example, have access to electricity.  Analysts predict the countries’ budgets this year will focus on infrastructure and agriculture.  Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania’s economies are largely agriculture-based.

Sovereign bonds are bonds issued by national governments and denominated in foreign currencies, popular in developing countries because they are issued in hard currencies of countries with stable economies.  Since bonds from emerging countries are typically riskier, investors can usually buy sovereign bonds at a discount rate.  Domestic bonds are denominated in the local currency of a country where it’s issued.

Economist and foreign aid critic Dambisa Moyo hopes African countries tap bond markets more, rather than continuing to seek foreign aid to finance their budgets.

One of East African Money’s favorite writers and economists, Dambisa Moyo, has gained attention for arguing that developing countries should finance their budgets through the bond markets, rather than foreign aid (or “dead aid” as Moyo dubs it).  In an op-ed in the Independent, Moyo writes:

  • “What the credit crunch has effectively done is to instigate this process by default. With Western donors facing mounting fiscal pressures and gaping deficits, foreign aid flows are in inevitable decline (Italy has already cut its foreign aid budget by half), and with this comes a chance for Africa to chart a strategy that delivers long-term economic growth. This is, after all, ostensibly the goal of any individual or institution that wishes to see Africa become an equal partner in the global community.  I have long believed that far from being a catalyst, foreign aid has been the biggest single inhibitor of Africa’s growth. Among its shortcomings, aid is correlated with corruption, fosters dependency, and invariably instils bureaucracy that hinders the emergence of an essential entrepreneurial class.
  • For Africa to grow in a sustained way, foreign aid will have to be dramatically reduced over time, forcing countries to adopt more transparent strategies to finance development.. In the past 18 months the sovereign bond issues of Ghana and Gabon (as well as a number of corporate and bank issues) have shown that innovative thinking towards more transparent methods of financing Africa’s development may be catching on – but there is clearly scope for improvement.  No one can say for sure how long market-based financing would take to yield sturdy growth for Africa, but one thing is for sure, it will be faster than continuing to rely on aid. These dark economic times are just the opening Africa needs to show that it can at last contribute meaningfully to the global economy rather than perennially being viewed as a drag….”

Well, the upcoming financial year for these major East African countries may give Moyo a chance to test her thesis.  And the financial challenges slamming the countries’ donors may continue to encourage East African countries to seek more transparent financing options for their budgets.  Ugandans, Tanzanians, and Kenyans can also gain more dignity in the process as they walk away from foreign aid.

Tax Education for Ugandans Living Abroad: Wayne Schoene

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CPA Wayne Schoene wrote a piece on tax issues for Ugandan expatriates for AfricaConnections.  East African Money is a featured blog of AfricaConnections.  Please check out his article below.  It’s also been published at Ugandans Abroad.

By Wayne Schoene–

Benjamin Franklin once wrote, “In this world nothing can be said to be certain except death and taxes.”  Unfortunately, there is little certainty when it comes to the United States tax laws.  This is part one of a series of articles that deal with tax issues for Ugandans living in the United States.

Before you can start completing forms and crunching the numbers, you need to determine what your status is for federal income tax purposes.  There are basically three statuses for people that are not U.S. citizens – resident alien, nonresident alien and dual-status alien.  A dual-status alien is someone who is a nonresident alien for part of the year, and a resident alien for the other part of the year.

To determine your federal income tax status you must go through at least one of two tests.  The first is the “Green Card Test.” In general, during the time you possess a “green card” you are a considered a resident alien for federal income tax purposes. However, to complicate matters further if this is the first or last year of that you possess a green card you may have a dual-status.  In other words, you may have a nonresident status before you obtain your “green card” or after it is abandoned or taken away.

Example: Bob has been living in the United States for the last 3 years.  On December 1, 2009 the U.S. Government grants him a green card.  In 2009, he is considered a resident alien for the entire year.

Example: Mary has entered the United States for the first time on July 15, 2009.  On December 1, 2009 the United States Government granted her a green card.  She is considered a nonresident alien for tax purposes from July 15th through November 3oth and a resident alien from then on.  She has a dual status for federal income tax purposes.

The second test is the “Substantial Presence Test” and is more complicated.  In general, if you are considered to have a day of presence in the U.S. any day or fraction of a day that you were physically inside the country.   For this test the days you a temporarily present in the U.S. as a teacher or trainee under “J” or “Q” visas do not count.  As well as the days you temporarily present in the U.S. as a student under “F”, “J”, “M” or “Q” visas.

Other days that won’t count for this test can be found in the Form 1040NR instructions published by the Internal Revenue Service  If you were “physically present in the United States” for at least 183 days during 2009 you are considered a resident alien for federal income tax purposes.  If you were physically present for less than 183 days in 2009 you must look at some additional criteria to determine if you are considered a resident alien or a nonresident alien.

If you are a resident alien for federal income tax purposes you should file the Form 1040 or if you are eligible, one of its shorter versions.  It is also important to note that resident aliens are subject to taxation on their worldwide income.

Example: Grace is a single resident alien for federal income tax purposes.  In 2009, she earned $30,000 in wages while working the United States.  In addition, during the year she owned an apartment building in Kampala which provided her with an equivalent of 20,000 U.S. dollars in income.  Since she is a resident alien her entire $50,000 of worldwide income in 2009 is subject to U.S. taxation.

If you a non-resident alien for federal income tax purposes you should file the Form 1040NR or if you are eligible, the shorter version known as the Form 1040NR-EZ.  Nonresident aliens are only subject to U.S. taxation on their “U.S. source” income.  In addition, U.S.-foreign tax treaties allow some nonresident aliens to exempt part or all of their “U.S. source” income from U.S. taxation.  Currently there is no U.S. – Uganda double taxation treaty in effect as this time.

Example: Moses, a single nonresident alien for federal tax purposes, earned $15,000 while on a temporary job assignment in New York City in 2009.  In addition, he earned wages equivalent of 8,000 U.S. Dollars (sh16million) while working in Kampala during 2009. He would file a nonresident tax return and only $15,000 of his worldwide income would be subject to U.S. taxation.

If you are a dual-status alien for federal income tax purposes, you must file a dual-status tax return.  If you were a resident alien on the last day of the year, you must file a Form 1040 and write “Dual Status” across the top of the form.  If you were a nonresident on the last day of the year, you must file a 1040NR and write “Dual Status” across the top of the form.  For additional instructions and what specifically needs to be attached to each of these respective forms, please see the Form 1040NR instructions published by the Internal Revenue Service.

Disclaimer:

Unless, expressly stated otherwise in this article,  (1) nothing contained in this article was intended or written to be used, can be used by any taxpayer, or may be relied upon or used by the taxpayer for the purposes of avoiding penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended; (2) any written statement contained in this article relating to any federal tax transaction or matter may not be used by any person to support the promotion or marketing or to recommend and federal transaction or matter;  and (3) any taxpayer should seek advice based on the taxpayer’s particular circumstances from an independent tax advisor with respect to any federal tax transaction or matter contained in this article.  No one without our express written permission, may use any part of this article in promoting, marketing or recommending an arrangement relating to any federal tax matter to one or more taxpayers.

About the author:

Wayne Schoene is a Certified Public Accountant based in San Jose, California.

His e-mail is wayne@iellp.com.

New Ministry of Oil To Supervise UG’s 2 Billion+ Barrels of Oil

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Rich Clabaugh, Christian Science Monitor.

The Daily Monitor got a glimpse at the upcoming bill that will regulate Uganda’s emerging oil sector.  More than two billion barrels of oil have been discovered in Uganda, one of the largest discoveries in sub-saharan Africa.  Some analysts believe the oil could generate as much as $50 billion USD a year in revenue for the country.

According to reporting by Angelo Izama on April 29th, the law will create a new ministry for oil.  The minister of oil would regulate the sector, and create the operations of a national oil company, which will control 15% of Uganda’s oil resources.  British multinational Tullow Oil will control 85 percent.

The minister will supervise a five member board of experts called the Petroleum Authority.

The law also stipulates that whenever possible, Ugandans will be given jobs created in the sector, and that competitive Ugandan services and goods be used.

The Monitor reports that those disclosing information in the sector could face criminal penalties, but did not give greater detail.  The proposed law will be announced in May, and the public will review it before it goes to Parliament.

The Ugandan government hopes to begin producing oil this year.  According to reportingby the Christian Science Monitor, the government has not gone on a “consumption-led spending boom in anticipation of oil revenues,” but is targeting projects that will exploit the recent discoveries’ potential.  They will create an oil fund, refine the oil in-country, and hopefully reduce the country’s dependence on imports.

Do you think the oil discovery will be a blessing for Uganda, or make the country’s current problems worse? Please comment below.

Latest Update on Uganda’s Emerging Oil Sector

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Tullow Oil CEO Aidan Heavey. Tullow will control 85 of Uganda's oil resources.

Uganda’s Minister of State for Mineral Development released more information on how the country plans to manage its resources, according to reporting by Fred Ojambo for Bloomberg Business Week.  The country will release its oil policy in May, when it will be up for public debate before legislation is submitted to the parliament.

Tullow Oil and its partners (Total SA and China National Offshore Oil Corp.)  will share 85 percent of Uganda’s oil, and the Ugandan government will control 15 percent.  Tullow purchased half of the oil fields from Canadian multinational Heritage Oil for $1.5 billion, and initially opposed paying a gains tax, which slowed down talks between the government and oil companies.

Uganda plans to begin producing oil in later 2010.

Star Cafe Supports Farmers During Difficult Coffee Season in UG

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Uganda's coffee farmers often get ripped off by middlemen. But Star Coffee hopes to buy from Kapchorwa farmers directly.

Farmers in Kapchorwa have a reason to smile: Ugandan company Star Cafe will take the middle man out of the equation by buying directly from local producers.

The instant coffee company, based in Kampala’s Banda neighborhood, will work with the Kabenywa Farmers’ Group in eastern Uganda to get them direct access to markets, according to reporting by the Daily Monitor.

Currently, middlemen buy the farmers’ coffee crop at a low price, before reselling it at steep prices to unlicensed traders.

Every year, Star Cafe promises to buy 25 tons of coffee from the farmers’ group, and to help them start a heifer project, in order to generate income during the off-season.  Star Cafe will also assist in certifying the farmers for their market.

This support is critical at a time when Uganda’s coffee market has been faltering.
Bloomberg’s correspondent Fred Ojambo reported that coffee exports for this month may drop as much as 11 percent, due to a devastating drought last year.  The Uganda Coffee Development Authority released the figures this week.

Uganda is the African continent’s second largest coffee producer.  Ethiopia produces the most.

East African Money is a featured blogger of AfricaConnections, a company that provides services and information to African immigrant groups.  Support our work by posting a classified ad at Uganda’s List, or purchasing web advertising from us.  And please visit our sister site at Ugandans Abroad.

Uganda Delay Scares Heritage Shareholders

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Tony Buckingham, Heritage Oil CEO

Last week, shares of Canada’s Heritage Oil (HOIL.LN) dropped almost ten percent after the company said wrapping up the sale of its assets in Uganda would take several months longer than expected.

The Ugandan government is expected to approve the sale of Heritage’s assets to Tullow in May or June, though Heritage has received written confirmation that the deal will be approved.

Investors were also reacting to news from Heritage that finishing an important appraisal of an Iraqi well would also take more time than anticipated.  Shares fell to 526 pence each last Wednesday, and are currently trading 527 pence a share, down from 583 pence earlier this month.

For those who haven’t been following the Heritage-Tullow-Eni drama in Uganda, here are some of the takeaways:

  • Tullow will pay Heritage $1.35 billion in cash up-front for the assets, and an additional $150 million in cash or assets upon certain conditions being met
  • Tullow pre-empted attempts by Italian multinational Eni to purchase Heritage’s assets
  • The Ugandan government gave Tullow the greenlight for the Heritage sale officially on April 7th

East African Money is a featured blog of AfricaConnections, a company that connects African immigrants in the diaspora and their friends with independent news from their homeland.  Check out our sister sites at Ugandans Abroad, Uganda Beat, Your Lucy, Through My Eyes, and Uganda’s List.

Good News for Ugandan Drug Exports

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Kenyan PM Raila Odinga said Kenya would begin importing drugs from Uganda, during his recent trip there.

Kenya hopes to start importing drugs from next-door neighbor Uganda, which was approved in March by the World Health Organization to begin exporting antiretroviral (ARV) drugs. The Daily Monitor reported this story on April 7th.

In 2007, Uganda launched a drug factory in Luziira that would produce low-cost drugs to treat malaria and HIV/AIDS, and hoped to reduce bureaucratic delays between the government and aid agencies. So far, $38 million has been invested in the plant by the private sector.

Quality Chemicals, which runs the plant, is the only pharmaceutical company that makes ARVs in Central and East Africa. Kenya, for instance, currently imports most of it drugs from the U.K. and India.

Kenya’s prime minister, Raila Odinga, announced that Kenya would begin importing drugs from Uganda during his trip to Uganda last week.

Uganda also scored another victory recently for producing malaria drugs in-country.  This April, India-based Cipla approved a powder produced in Western Uganda, artemesinin, for use in malaria drugs. Small-scale farmers in Western Uganda have been contracted to grow the shrub that produces artemesinin.  The East African reported this on April 5th.

In Uganda, malaria is the leading cause of death,  killing about 320 people a day, mostly children under five and pregnant women.  Households spends about 25 percent of their income on treating the disease.  An estimated 5.4 of Ugandans were living with HIV in 2008, with the prevalence higher in urban areas than rural environments, and greater among women than men.